Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.008407 0.009860 0.011600 0.013867 0.016796 0.020524 0.025753
2025-10-12 0.006673 0.008445 0.010815 0.014336 0.019659 0.027840 0.042385
2025-10-19 0.005552 0.007355 0.009940 0.014124 0.021190 0.033730 0.061040
2025-10-26 0.004882 0.006702 0.009456 0.014239 0.023134 0.041175 0.089625
2025-11-02 0.004316 0.006084 0.008870 0.013982 0.024257 0.047648 0.124417
2025-11-09 0.003780 0.005424 0.008089 0.013169 0.023974 0.050835 0.155087
2025-11-16 0.003377 0.004921 0.007485 0.012544 0.023871 0.054484 0.195823
2025-11-23 0.003161 0.004693 0.007316 0.012715 0.025637 0.064752 0.299484
2025-11-30 0.002921 0.004396 0.006978 0.012466 0.026293 0.072182 0.422735
2025-12-07 0.002687 0.004085 0.006575 0.012000 0.026230 0.077166 0.563091
2025-12-14 0.002515 0.003867 0.006319 0.011809 0.026882 0.085847 0.842480
2025-12-21 0.002437 0.003806 0.006354 0.012287 0.029716 0.108059 1.886078
2025-12-28 0.002395 0.003820 0.006569 0.013327 0.035224 0.157857 11.577773
2026-01-04 0.002296 0.003720 0.006539 0.013770 0.039115 0.211721 400.188843
2026-01-11 0.002156 0.003528 0.006290 0.013569 0.040461 0.251505 NaN
2026-01-18 0.002054 0.003400 0.006162 0.013679 0.043266 0.322801 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001939 0.003234 0.005930 0.013435 0.044383 0.383220 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001800 0.003011 0.005546 0.012665 0.042567 0.390642 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001684 0.002828 0.005236 0.012072 0.041428 0.410273 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001626 0.002756 0.005174 0.012235 0.044427 0.549221 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001548 0.002639 0.004998 0.011999 0.045122 0.648181 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001465 0.002506 0.004769 0.011556 0.044395 0.702725 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001403 0.002412 0.004627 0.011375 0.045223 0.844863 NaN